The Return of the National Security State
Sunk at the Pier: Crisis in the American Submarine Industrial Base
With the potential for a hot war with China looming over America’s strategic future, the minds of U.S. defense planners increasingly turn with calm confidence to the Navy’s submarine force. Submarines—quiet, stealthy, and loaded with lethal combinations of missiles, torpedoes, and mines—can penetrate deep into the Pacific’s first and second island chains, negating Chinese investments…
A National Defense Strategy for Generic Drugs
In 1998, Bill Clinton read a book called The Cobra Event, a dramatic novel about a mad scientist developing a virus for acts of bioterrorism. Clinton was so affected by the book that he launched the Strategic National Stockpile, a collection of supplies and medical countermeasures to be deployed on behalf of civilians in the event of a bioterrorism attack. This story verges on apocryphal—different sources tell different versions. But it seems that the era was ripe for concerns over bioterrorism…
From Exports to Imports: How Corporate America Changed Its Views on Trade in the 1970s
It is impossible to understand the 1990s political landscape without appreciating the smaller yet pivotal transformations that occurred in the 1970s. Throughout the decade, continued changes to U.S. trade law, geopolitical developments in East Asia, and novel shipping technology combined to change the incentive structure that American businesses faced. This began a fundamental alteration in how these companies saw international trade. Slowly, American firms that once viewed trade as a way to expand the market for their American-made products began to view trade as a means to restructure their own production processes: exchanging a focus on foreign sales for a focus on foreign workers…
The Next Washington Consensus: The Security State and Its Rivals
April 2023 marked the emergence of a “New Washington Consensus,” according to President Biden’s national security advisor, Jake Sullivan, who coined the term in a much discussed speech at the Brookings Institution. His argument in brief: events have forced proponents of the original “Washington Consensus”—which he defined as the U.S.-led order that served as the global economy’s foundation since the Second World War—to reexamine its underlying policy assumptions. Recent years, Sullivan suggested, “revealed cracks in those foundations,” particularly the global financial crisis, the Covid-19 pandemic, climate disasters, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine…
Big Tech and Big Government
Scrolling Alone: Smartphones and Social Atomization
With Anxious Generation, Haidt comes to the very opposite set of conclusions that a reader might expect. Haidt shows that Silicon Valley’s products are, by design, structurally at odds with the developmental needs of human children as members of the species. The only serious solution, then, is for government (and other responsible entities) to step in and restrict children’s access…
The Scramble for AI Computing Power
“What is your moat?” That’s Silicon Valley-speak for “what defends you from the competition.” As investors hunt for the next big AI company, it’s also one question that the hundreds of start-ups launched in the wake of ChatGPT increasingly can’t avoid. How do you profit off intelligence once it’s been commoditized? Will the AI transition…
Antitrust in the Digital Age: A Tale of Two Agencies
In short, if we have learned anything from the competing antitrust approaches of the Biden administration, it appears that an expanded consumer welfare standard, incorporating non-priced harms, is likely to win out. Neo-Brandeisian critiques may be more theoretically exciting for some antitrust advocates, and perhaps have helped to raise public awareness. The FTC has also taken meaningful action in other areas, such as recently banning noncompete agreements. But the DOJ’s enhanced consumer welfare approach seems poised to deliver more concrete successes in addressing concentration in Big Tech and beyond…
Lessons in Development: Revisiting Martin J. Sklar’s Corporate Liberalism
To the end of his life, Sklar professed to be a socialist and political thinker on the left. Yet he ended up an outspoken defender of both George W. Bush’s neoconservative globalism and the Tea Party movement. These stances emerged from an increasingly idiosyncratic and expansive understanding of the macro-historical leftward movement of the United States, but also from personal and professional grievances. Drawing on his experiences of the sectarian New Left milieu of the 1970s and within academia, Sklar became a strident critic of what is now known as identity politics…
The Opposite of Progress
The Nonprofit Industrial Complex and the Corruption of the American City
What is taking place in America’s most performatively socialist urban areas is that taxes are constantly raised in order to fund public services, resulting in some of the most heavily taxed populations in the country. But this tax revenue is then squandered on private contracts to unaccountable nonprofit organizations whose activities do little to rectify the problems they are nominally being funded to address…
Progressive Geography’s Intellectual Dead End
Disdain for the people inhabiting the periphery has long been embedded in the media and academic worldview, dating back even before the writings of Lewis Mumford. It is also ultimately terrible politics. Demeaning non-city dwellers as racists, homophobes, and fascists may not be the best way to start a conversation with the roughly 90 percent of Americans who live outside the urban core…
States of Exception
The Bukele Model and the Future of El Salvador
On February 4, 2024, President Nayib Bukele secured a thumping reelection in El Salvador, receiving an astonishing 85 percent of the vote. His victory signals the consolidation of an unprecedented sociopolitical transformation in Latin America. Not long ago, El Salvador was considered to be one of the most dangerous countries on the planet, on par with war-ravaged Syria and Somalia. Today, El Salvador’s homicide rate rivals the likes of Canada…
Japan’s Quiet Revolution
Just four decades ago, many saw Japan as the successor to the United States as the world’s “number one.” Ezra F. Vogel wrote in his famous 1979 book that “Japan has dealt more successfully with more of the basic problems of postindustrial society than any other country.” But following the bursting of Japan’s economic bubble and the subsequent “lost decade,” the Asian Financial Crisis, and the country’s accelerating demographic decline, Japan faded from global attention…
Reforging the Russian World: Gorbachev, Putin, and Russian Nationalism
For centuries, the internal workings of successive Russian states have been a mystery to the West. The Russian Empire was seen as a strange place, an “other.” The Soviet Union was so opaque that American intelligence agencies were reduced to analyzing who was standing next to whom in photos to determine proximity to power. The Russian Federation has been no exception…
Waiting for the Barbarians: How China Views the U.S. Election
It is difficult for Chinese to idealize the United States anymore, perhaps particularly for those Chinese who spend time there or are fluent in English. And yet, China is not anywhere close to “finished,” and so the map is being redrawn in the middle of a voyage. Today, China’s society is like Frankenstein’s monster, with different parts grafted into a single organism…